Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.397717 0.465009 0.540565 0.631760 0.738966 0.861132 1.011118
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.283282 0.367791 0.473366 0.615304 0.801724 1.039036 1.365381
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.236765 0.330261 0.455947 0.638005 0.896294 1.251586 1.780852
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.199676 0.295089 0.431166 0.640568 0.956918 1.420555 2.158199
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.174987 0.271808 0.417130 0.652810 1.028880 1.611441 2.593426
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.150242 0.243792 0.390650 0.640103 1.057892 1.737697 2.944166
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.131718 0.222387 0.370655 0.633373 1.093318 1.876285 3.333402
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.118287 0.207189 0.358179 0.636451 1.144191 2.045807 3.800209
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.111764 0.202757 0.362998 0.669667 1.251912 2.328789 4.516520
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.105614 0.198018 0.366378 0.700242 1.358376 2.623459 5.300978
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.098792 0.191035 0.364555 0.720353 1.447004 2.895625 6.082968
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.091085 0.181299 0.356162 0.726163 1.507448 3.119492 6.799211
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.082533 0.169037 0.341748 0.718760 1.541667 3.298733 7.459378
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073928 0.155613 0.323399 0.700793 1.551238 3.428104 8.033057
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070360 0.152254 0.325368 0.726748 1.661040 3.793464 9.218510
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065200 0.144771 0.317546 0.729682 1.718598 4.048138 10.180425
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061440 0.139897 0.314775 0.743690 1.804007 4.380513 11.394915
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056018 0.130554 0.300767 0.729150 1.817877 4.540982 12.190813
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.051629 0.123086 0.290177 0.721449 1.847667 4.745607 13.141915
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.048367 0.117919 0.284402 0.724971 1.906833 5.034843 14.380625
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047347 0.118126 0.291684 0.762982 2.062982 5.605677 16.534136
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.046161 0.117769 0.297509 0.797979 2.216333 6.193148 18.849558
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044410 0.115743 0.298834 0.821003 2.339765 6.716078 21.068463